1995 ASML Best of Al Poll


1995 Al Stewart Mailing List
"Best Of Al" Poll:
Voter Correlations, Highest Song Standard Deviation, Lowest Song Standard Deviation

"Without question, the 1900's marked the turning point of the human race," said Slingsby as we made our way to the Great Master's private den. "They began with the Industrial Revolution and ended on the Information Revolution, the two most significant technological eras in modern history."

The den was relatively small, with bookshelves and cabinets along one wall and a political map of the world, circa 1995, on another. A beautiful mahogany desk stood in the center of the room. Behind it was a matching credenza on which were a variety of antique electronic devices. Slingsby strode up to a laptop computer that had been painstakingly restored and refurbished.

"As the 21st century dawned, computers had become an established part of day-to-day life. Of course, personal computers like this one were bulky, balky, required obscene amounts of electrical power, and offered extremely limited capabilities. This particular device was considered a portable unit!"

The whole tour group burst out laughing.

"Today," continued Slingsby, waxing philosophic, "all newborn children have Intel Octo-Quadrium(tm) wetware accelerator boards surgically embedded into the base of their cerebrums. They run on the body's natural electrical system, are fully upgradeable via minor outpatient surgery, allow direct neurological access to the Pan-Galactic Net, and provide the computing power of a roomful of these primitive laptops. Put simply, we as a people are light-years ahead of our forefathers."

He turned to the little girl with the ice cream cone. "What's two plus two, honey?"

"3.99999622"

"Very good!" said Slingsby brightly. He patted her on the head.

While that went on, I poked through the knickknacks on the Great Master's shelves. A miniature cable car from San Francisco. A Big Ben statue from London. A nightstick from Philadelphia with the inscription: "Property of Club Maui, one-hotdog-per-customer limit strictly enforced." Hmm, I think that policy is still in effect.

On the underside of a ceramic statue of Castor and Pollux, bought during a tour gig in Minneapolis, I found the following:


1995 ASML BOAP: Best Voter-to-Voter Correlation

 #   Voter1             Voter2          Correlation
---------------------------------------------------
 1   Susan Browning     Andy Rex           0.7061
 2   Graham Rhodes      Steve Smoot        0.6391
 3   Dave Nachmanoff    Noel Kaplan        0.6197
 4   Steve Dreksler     Mark Twomey        0.6060
 5   Andy Peterman      Adam Woolfe        0.5950
 6   Ben Henwood        Alana Landey       0.5847
 7   Mark Twomey        Noel Kaplan        0.5739
 8   Rona Montag        Steve Dreksler     0.5604
 9   John Shannon       David Capeloto     0.5576
10   Ben Henwood        Nick Straguzzi     0.5527
11   John Shannon       Noel Kaplan        0.5455
12   John Carr          Kurt Schmidt       0.5420
13   Adam Woolfe        Lisa Davis         0.5353
14   Andy Peterman      John Shannon       0.5337
15   Anne Rasmussen     Charlie Hulme      0.5305
16   Richard Horton     Nick Straguzzi     0.5274
17   Bob Spector        Noel Kaplan        0.5273
18   Steve Smoot        David Capeloto     0.5264
19   Brian Carroll      Steve Smoot        0.5259
20   David Capeloto     Kim Dyer           0.5255
21   Mary Ann Carberry  David Capeloto     0.5250
22   Marshall Wood      Don Greenop        0.5248
23   Glenn Vallen       Mark Twomey        0.5245
24   Keith Palmer       Bob Spector        0.5231
25   Steven Vest        AEleen Frisch      0.5209


I let out a soft whistle. Let's see, there were 109 ballots cast in the poll. The total number of voter pairs was thus 109 squared, minus 109 (since a voter's correlation with himself was meaningless), divided by 2 (since the A-to-B correlation was the same as B-to-A.) I sent the numbers to my neuroprocessor for calculation.

It came back "42". I've gotta get that damn upgrade installed.

Working with pencil and paper -- how primeval -- I calculated the actual number of pairs at 5,886. The Top 25 therefore represented the top four-tenths of one percent. Quite impressive indeed.

And a 0.7061 covariance between two individuals was extraordinary! Why, even Where Are They Now, Inc., the world's most popular chain of computer dating services, recommend nuptials when a couple's Great Master Compatibility Rating (GMCR) reaches 0.60 or higher.

Next to the statuette was a cedar case containing a pair of 18th-century silver dueling pistols. A quick scan with the temporal sight restorer revealed these words on the inside lid:


1995 ASML BOAP: Lowest Voter-to-Voter Correlation

 #   Voter1             Voter2          Correlation
---------------------------------------------------
 1   Pete Ball          Robin Coles       -0.3304
 2   Jeff Johannes      Matt Jarvis       -0.3212
 3   Douglas MacPhail   Chris Read        -0.3206
 4   Jochen Rindfrey    Doug Steele       -0.2890
 5   Mark Brady         Chris Read        -0.2819
 6   Russ Pierce        Shane Barbera     -0.2789
 7   Jeff Johannes      Douglas MacPhail  -0.2718
 8   Nick Yutko         Doug Steele       -0.2693
 9   Chris Conway       Rona Montag       -0.2682
10   Veronica Honer     Steve Smoot       -0.2585
11   Paul Dreifus       Doug Steele       -0.2566
12   Ela Hnizdo         Jeff Johannes     -0.2537
13   Russ Pierce        Mark Moerman      -0.2442
14   Veronica Honer     Jochen Rindfrey   -0.2435
15   Alan Parker        Bob Hofkin        -0.2422
16   Lisa Davis         Steven Sharpe     -0.2414
17   Jeff Johannes      Carl Brooks       -0.2408
18   Alan Parker        Matt Jarvis       -0.2302
19   Rob Callum         Shane Barbera     -0.2294
20   Douglas MacPhail   Juhani Lindqvist  -0.2285
21   Pete Ball          Emily Branson     -0.2221
22   Veronica Honer     Graham Rhodes     -0.2209
23   Rona Montag        Chris Read        -0.2208
24   Russ Pierce        Jeff Porter       -0.2208
25   Edmund Chattoe     Steven Sharpe     -0.2205


A shiver ran through my bones. Minus 0.3304! That was the fourth lowest correlation I'd ever heard of! A Stewartian scholar once estimated the GMCR for famous people throughout history, and the worst was -0.3573 between Mother Teresa and Charles Manson. Second worst was -0.3418 for Michael Jackson and Lisa Marie Presley, third was -0.3361 for Sid Vicious and Sir Laurence Juber.

Slingsby, meanwhile, was demonstrating various 20th-century techniques for breeding scrap paper. One device would generate it, another would create duplicates, and a third would transmit it instantaneously over telephone lines.

"Around the turn of the millennia," said Slingsby, "people began to move beyond paper and recognize the importance of computer networking. The First Internet had its roots in the 1970's. Initially, it was limited to government research agencies, but by the 1980's it began to spread through the business world. In the 1990's, it exploded into the private sector."

"Was the Great Master one of its pioneers?" someone asked.

"Indeed he was," replied Slingsby. "Though he didn't care to admit it, he would spend hours at his computer 'surfing the Net', as it was known back then. He was especially fond of the newsgroups rec.history, alt.wine.french, rec.folk.british, and alt.lawyers.greedy.die.die.die.

"His disk drive contained many short articles explaining the history and characters of his songs. They were unmistakably of his own creation since early draft versions were found as well. Evidence suggests he would piece these together, have Lady Kristine Stewart edit them to remove any British idioms and spellings, and transfer them across the 'Net. Mysteriously, none ever appeared on a public newsgroup. It is speculated that he E-mailed them privately, though to whom no one is certain."

The tour group moved to the other side of the room, giving me an opportunity to scan the credenza. The papers and accessories were all clean, but taped to the side of his monitor was a business card which read:

             ------------------------------------------
            |        Great Lakes Talent Agency         |
            |                                          |
            |   Southern Michigan's Finest Source of   |
            |     Acting Talent for All Occasions!     |
            |                                          |
            |   By the Hour, By the Day, By The Week   |
            |                                          |
            |            No Job Too Small!             |
            |       Confidentiality Guaranteed!        |
            |                                          |
            |             (517) 555-3937               |
            |           Retainers Available            |
             ------------------------------------------
...and on the back of the business card was the following:


1995 ASML BOAP: Best Correlation to Final Results

 #    Voter              Correlation
------------------------------------
 1    Noel Kaplan          0.7344
 2    Bob Spector          0.6698
 3    Dave Nachmanoff      0.6669
 4    Andy Peterman        0.6605
 5    Adam Woolfe          0.6404
 6    Brian Carroll        0.6362
 7    John Shannon         0.6289
 8    Paul Feldman         0.6252
 9    Steve Smoot          0.6251
10    Ben Henwood          0.6219

1995 ASML BOAP: Worst Correlation to Final Results

 #    Voter              Correlation
------------------------------------
 1    Jeff Johannes        0.0018
 2    Veronica Honer       0.0613
 3    Robert Van Howe      0.0708
 4    Pete Ball            0.0752
 5    Doug Steele          0.1402
 6    Emily Branson        0.1643
 7    Steven Sharpe        0.1824
 8    Douglas MacPhail     0.1860
 9    Matt Jarvis          0.2143
10    Jeff Porter          0.2349


Soon, we found ourselves admiring the Great Master's handsomely framed map of the Earth. There were over 200 countries in those days, each forming one colorful piece of a beautiful patchwork quilt.

"Where are the logos of the corporate sponsors?" asked the little girl.

"That practice didn't begin until about a hundred years ago, honey. Each country sponsored itself in those days. Political boundaries changed frequently due to wars and shifting alliances. As the Great Master himself so eloquently put it, the colors of the map kept running and running."

That jolted me awake. What an obvious place to hide a poll result! I carefully scanned the map with my TSR while Slingsby continued his oration.

"The world had shrunk considerably in the 20th century due to advances in transportation and communication. Still, it took nearly a day to travel corporally from one hemisphere to another, and two-way data exchange was similarly limited and slow. Each country was thus able to maintain its own distinct culture.

"It wasn't until S. J. Brundle invented the first working teleportation chamber in the year 2112 that the world's borders truly began to fade." Slingsby paused to swat a fly that had been buzzing by his ear. "Oddly enough, there are still some who pine for the simpler days of nationalism and multiculturalism. They claim that teleportation, plus similar advances like neurocomputers and the Pan-Galactic Net, have only served to over-homogenize our society. They claim we have become soulless, interchangeable robots who have lost the ability of independent thought. Do you think that's true?"

We all shook our heads.

"Me either. I prefer to believe that the human race has simply reached consensus on most crucial issues. But back in the Great Master's day, consensus was a very rare bird indeed. Shocking numbers of his contemporaries were combative, aggressive, dogmatic, and quick to demonize those of opposing viewpoints. Entire cottage industries sprang up to promote fanaticism and divisiveness. Curiously, many who crusaded against intolerance were among its most frequent practitioners.

"Thankfully, the human race has moved beyond those petty times. We have learned to deal peacefully and rationally with one another and to accept our occasional disagreements gracefully. Intolerance is now just a puff of smoke against the sky."

"Geez, I hate that song," said one older man.

Slingsby vaporized him with a blast from his phaser. "Heathen," he muttered under his breath.

("Don't worry folks," he said to us reassuringly. "I only had it set it to stun. He'll rematerialize in a few minutes.")

Too bad he didn't shoot me. I was going crazy trying to find hidden poll results on the map. Nothing registered on the TSR, nor did anything turn up under the X-ray or ultraviolet settings on my flashlight. Even the frame was unmarked. How could they have missed such an obvious hiding place?

In frustration, I leaned back against the credenza. I must have brushed against the laptop because it suddenly glowed with a pale blue light. A list of data files appeared on the screen. And what do you know -- one of them was titled POLLREAD.ME. Here's what it contained:


1995 ASML BOAP: Songs with Highest Standard Deviation

 #    Song                           Album   St.Dev.
----------------------------------------------------
 1    Love Chronicles                LC       2.780
 2    Accident On 3rd Street	       RAA      2.702
 3    Hipposong                      FLW      2.596
 4    The News From Spain            0        2.569
 5    Mondo Sinistro                 24C      2.556
 6    Samuel, Oh How You've Changed	 BI       2.466
 7    End Of The Day                 TP       2.462
 8    Night Of The 4th Of May        O        2.450
 9    License To Steal               LDOTC    2.417
10    Nostradamus                    PPF      2.414

1995 ASML BOAP: Songs with Lowest Standard Deviation

 #    Song                           Album   St.Dev.
----------------------------------------------------
 1    Life Between The Wars          BTW     1.591
 2    Night Train To Munich          BTW     1.641
 3    The Black Danube               BTW     1.660
 4    Pandora                        IS      1.662
 5    Soho (Needless To Say)         PPF     1.733
 6    Betty Boop's Birthday          BTW     1.738
 7    Warren Harding                 PPF     1.768
 8    I Don't Believe You            O       1.773
 9    You Should Have Listened To Al LC      1.775
10    Scandinavian Girl	             TWIMC   1.785


Suddenly, one of the middle-aged women in the group froze in her tracks. Her eyeballs rotated, her head spun 360 degrees on its axis, and her hair took on an odd shade of cerise. Gasping and gurgling, she toppled backwards into the bookcase sending it crashing to the floor.

Her husband shrugged. "First day with the new brain," he explained. "Reckon she just up and core dumped."

We all nodded understandingly. The break-in period was always the toughest.

"Take the teleport chamber in the foyer to the infirmary," said Slingsby helpfully. "They can reboot her in a jiffy and you can rejoin us at our next stop -- the Great Master's family room."


Nick Straguzzi
CEO, Al Poll Central
Mullica Hill, NJ
nstraguzzi@snip.net